Hedge Fund Correlation with Broad-Based Indexes Increases Dramatically
(Mar 2012)
As Bank of America-Merrill Lynch Global Research's Mary Ann Bartels showed last year, the correlation of hedge fund monthly returns with broad based stock market indexes has recently hit historic highs. We decided to look into this phenomenon and determine whether or not it is persisting.
In the following plot, we show the monthly returns for the S&P 500 index as well as the Dow Jones Credit Suisse Core Hedge Fund Index (representing an aggregation of several hedge fund investment...
Downloading Price Quotes from Yahoo! Finance: an Excel-Based Tool
(Mar 2012)
Yahoo! Finance is a useful tool to get the latest quotes on various financial products. Although it is very convenient to see the price movement of the security of your interest (for example, IBM Stock) on Yahoo! Finance, it is somewhat more difficult to download the data into your own Excel spread sheet.
We recently designed an Excel template which allows users to directly download price data from Yahoo! Finance. You can download the tool from our website. To use the tool, simply call the...
Time to Call for More Transparency in ETF Market
(Mar 2012)
Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) started as a "plain vanilla" product: a type of low-fee, tax-efficient mutual funds holding index-mimicking portfolios. The first ETF was formed by the Toronto Stock Exchange in the 1980s and has garnered spectacular popularity in recent years. According to a recent article in The Economist, the number of ETFs in America has almost tripled from its 2006 level of 343 to 1,098 in December 2011. This volume increase has been accompanied by substantial financial...
More Examples of CDO Warehousing and Potential Fraud
(Feb 2012)
Last month we had a blog post about Banc of America Securities selling investors CLOs which had already lost value before the CLO closing date. It seems that in July 2007 Banc of America transferred at least $35 million of previous losses to unsuspecting investors in two of its CLO offerings - LCM VII and Bryn Mawr II. In October 2008 when these two CLOs were liquidated investors lost nearly $150 million. But it is unlikely that these were the only structured deals that hid the true value of...
Mutual Fund Expense Analyzer: A Tool for Calculating Mutual Fund Fees and Expenses
(Feb 2012)
Every mutual fund investor should know how important fees and expenses are in determining the net return of his investment. Compared with other factors affecting a mutual fund's or an Exchange Traded Fund (ETF)'s return, such as market returns, fees and expenses are more stable over time and it is therefore easier to predict their effect on a fund's future performance. However, comparing fees and expenses across funds can be tedious and confusing, as different funds can use different fee...
Credit Risk in the Municipal Bond Marketplace
(Feb 2012)
Municipal bonds are debt securities issued by city, county or special-purpose government units (known as municipal authorities). This debt is typically issued to fund public works projects such as health care, construction projects or education. Because the interest from municipal bonds is usually exempt from federal income tax (one notable exception is Build America Bonds); the municipal bonds are especially attractive to high tax-bracket individuals. We will discuss some specifics of the...
Stock Market Correlation and Portfolio Diversification
(Feb 2012)
It has long been argued that diversification of stock portfolios across country borders is important to reduce investment risk. Although the 2007-2008 financial crisis wreaked havoc on both the developed and the developing world, diversification remains a central pillar of modern portfolio theory. The following figure from World Federation of Exchanges shows the value of several stock indexes starting from 1992(Full Disclosure: No data available for Tehran SE/TEPIX in 2008, 2009 and 2010)....
Déjà Vu: Non-Traded Business Development Companies
(Feb 2012)
Last week we posted an introduction to non-traded REITs that highlighted the many risks inherent to those investments. As it happens, another non-traded investment has been growing in popularity, but has an almost identical set of risk factors and has recently caught the attention of regulators: non-traded business development companies (BDCs).
The resemblance between non-traded REITs and non-traded BDCs is uncanny. Both are special business classes created by Congress in the mid 20th...
Did ARS Interest Payments Adequately Compensate Investors After the Failures?
(Feb 2012)
Auction Rate Securities (ARS) are floating interest rate debt issued primarily by municipalities, mutual funds, and special purpose trusts. ARS were marketed as short-term, cash-equivalent investments similar to commercial paper but any similarities with short-term investments were superficial and misleading. ARS are long-term debt traded in periodic auctions with prices fixed at par. The auction-determined interest rate was constrained by a maximum rate which could prevent the auctions from...
